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Introduction |
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I wish to repeat a few points I made in recent
articles.
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I and many people
I know feel we are living in an increasingly alien and hostile country.
Although this is extremely unpleasant, there are thousands of reasons
things are as they are. One election, or even two or three elections,
didn't make things the way they are. It took much more than that. For
example, as I wrote in a few pieces, we must consider how the
Constitutional allocation of electoral and Congressional votes for the
last 200+ years put conservative extremists in power.
I learned the
notion that things are going as planned from my work, programming
computers This is not a principle, or a law or even a rule. It is a
heuristic. It's frustrating and "angrifying" when things don't go our way,
but the facts are things are usually going exactly how they were set up
(programmed) to go. It's a rare day when the computer - the mechanism of
the thing - is actually broken. It just that the program is wrong; it's
our program that did it.
One gets to a
solution faster when we realize that the apparent absurdity of the result
is our own doing. It doesn't help to blame anyone. It's just the way it
is.
| Want different results? Change the program; change what you're doing. |
In the steady state,
uniformitarian, world, things happen in a regular manner. There are causes
and effects. But, push things around fast enough and stuff jumps the
track. After that, who knows what happens?
Chaotic systems are
both regular and random. When the components are not highly energetic,
they settle into patterns. One can - in principle - compute the
trajectories of all the billiard balls after the break. (This is called a
metastable state.) Hit the cue ball hard enough, however, and there's a
risk some of the balls will jump off the table. When that happens, their
trajectories are no longer predictable by the billiard-table computer.
Complex factors like spin, gravity, dirt, table height, air flow, etc, etc
now affect where the fast-moving balls go.
The player who hits
the ball out of the park is gifted or crazy, depending on whether he knows
the consequences. Maybe the ball just lands in a ditch, or does a little
damage to someone's windshield, or maybe it lands on someone's head and
kills him.
Our government is in
the hands of the Bandit, who is unlikely to be gifted. Therefore, it is
very probable no one knows the eventual results of his activities. (I know
I don't.)
| Make sure you know what you're doing. | |
| When in doubt, make one change at a time. | |
| Prepare for the worst, then hang on
for the ride. |
Surely we have all
seen the Mickey Mouse version of the story, played to the Dukas' piece,
"The Sorcerer's Apprentice." Mickey conjures water from the well, but
doesn't know how to turn it off. Everything he does makes matters worse.
Mickey is saved by
The Wizard, who returns in time to set things right.
| Make sure you know a Wizard. | |
| If you don't know anything, defer to authority. | |
| If you screw up, get help right away. (Don't
fix it yourself.) |
| The cost of the cleanup will be far greater than any temporary inconvenience or lack of service. |
Of course, if you
know how everything works, and you know how it is going to turn out, and
you know how to prevent any of those billiard balls from jumping off the
table, then be my guest
after you let me out
of the playing room.
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WalterB -
21:18:16 - Thursday, 04/14/2005