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Introduction |
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Now is the time to reissue a summary of the positions I
hold. As Owner and Chief Editor of
L&F, I
arrogantly make
L&F endorse my views. I hope that much is not surprising.
What may be more surprising is that I do encourage debate and dissent within the Left in these pages. I don't expect everyone on the Left will agree with me. I am very interested to hear their ideas and reasons. What I don't support is "fair and balanced." We have more than enough right wingnuts on the Internet, TV and radio and elsewhere.
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We are beginning a heavy duty political season. The
nomination of a Supreme Court Justice is likely to be as demanding as a
Presidential election. Every major political group has a stake in this
nomination. Their interests are multiplied by the likelihood that this
nomination will set the Court's direction for a generation or more.
Conservatives, especially, see in this struggle the enforcement of their
coup d'etat, a permanent takeover
of America entailing suppression of the liberal, urban majority.
In California, the same battle will be intensely fought
on different grounds. The Republican minority, led by the Governator, is
trying hard to subvert this moderately liberal State. The focal point of
their attack is the November 8, 2005 Special Election, which is all about
the Governator's Initiatives. Redistricting the State and shutting down
Union political activities are top targets which, combined, will unseat
several Democrats now holding State office and weaken liberal
constituencies everywhere.
Note that the Governator is busy
appointing Republicans to every
conceivable position, with the result that State employment is actually
rising (as reported this week in the
LA Times and
SF Chronicle).
This is a standard Republican method of taking over operations, because no
independents or Democrats need apply. The old Sen Knowland machine, based
in Oakland, used that tactic to control Alameda County for more than a
generation in spite of its underlying liberal majority. In comparison, it
has been a standard dogma of liberals and moderates that everyone should
be given a chance of appointment. This difference shows that Republicans
are like an invading army, not a citizens group. Further, that is not
something new: Republicans have been like that at least since the 1920s.
So, in California the major issue is whether the State will be subjugated by Republicans without benefit of elections and votes. This sub rosa attack on democratic institutions is largely unspoken. If Schwarzenegger's initiatives are defeated, probably he will be defeated in 2006 as well. Otherwise, it will be increasingly difficult to remove him and his (p)sychophants from government.
The battles in California will be prominent features of the national political and cultural wars about to erupt. Thus, I expect a lot of interaction. This is going to draw energy and money in several different directions at once. Unfortunately, only conservatives have enough money and hired vigilantes to fight on all fronts at once. I am not sure what choices liberals will make, where to fight and where not, although it is possible "the people" will come to the rescue of many liberal causes. Liberals should keep in mind that conservatives enjoy torturing and humiliating their opponents, before slaying them. Conservative observance of an American Code of Bushido should energize liberals in defending not just their fortunes and sacred honor, but their lives.
While all that is going on, there is the interminable
Conquest of Iraq. Unfortunately, it is probably going to be very difficult
to maintain attention on this atrocity on account of the foregoing. All of
this plays into the Bandit's hands, who will be able to do whatever he
wants overseas without much oversight.
I think we are faced with the most momentous set of
choices at least since the 1960s, and possibly in my lifetime. At the risk
of being called overly rigid and doctrinaire, I still maintain most of my
convictions basically unaltered by the years. If anything, the advent of
virulent reactionary government and the backward drift of much of our
society has reinforced my idea of how things should be. On the other hand,
age and experience have made me more willing to moderate the pace of
leftward change, if that is what it takes to bring almost everyone along.
I continue to believe the ideas and programs of the Left
will eventually be accepted everywhere, even if Bandit goverment triumphs
for a while. I regret that acceptance may be beyond my lifetime, but it
will come because of certain basic, natural facts. There is no significant
difference between any given set of humans. We are all born with a
sufficiently similar set of abilities and skills so that there is no
reason to discriminate in almost all cases. It is true that very few will
be a Mozart, a DaVinci or a Buddha. It is also true that very few are
willing to risk their lives for the common good. There aren't many
geniuses or saints, so we have to make allowance for these very special
cases. The rest of us can be CEOs or slaves indifferently. This
fundamental equality was belatedly recognized in modern times, starting
with the American and French Revolutions. It has its own "inner logic"
which will eventually flatten (equalize) society. There is no reason to
pay one person millions and another little or nothing. This meams we are
not only equal before the law, but, as a matter of right, have an equal
claim to the resources of this world.
That said, here is an outline of my positions. I try to
fill in the details in my regular writings. I ask you to keep in mind that
is is very difficult to separate issues, as everything is connected to
everything else. In the end, it is all of a piece; perspectives from an
implied weltanschauung.
I hold Equality as a basic Ethical principle, and believe it is well justified by the facts. In our reasoning about the law and our examination of socio-economic institutions, we must give precedence to this principle just because it is fundamental. It is more fundamental than personal interests or equity, and can be a decisive reason for changing the status quo and redistributing public and private goods.
Because I am a "leveler," a believer in human equality,
I oppose things that destroy equality. In my view, abridging equality is
the same as reducing freedom since those who are "more equal" are free to
gain advantage from their position at the expense of others who are "less
equal." In many cases, not just economic ones, inequality amounts to one
person's advantage and another's disadvantage; a zero sum game. If and
when the balance of equality is not a zero sum game, there may be some
justification for temporary inequality. It seems to me each of those
instances is a special circumstance, an exception, which must be argued
and proven; not the other way around. The ordinary assumption must be that
people (including intelligent ETs) are equal when we make decisions.
Based on the principal of equality, discrimination based
on any number of characteristics that are irrelevant to the decision is
unethical; it should be prohibited. With respect to the law, the usual
things - ethnic origin, race, religion, gender, sexual identity, fat,
thin, etc - cannot be considered unless a direct connection between the
characteristic and performance can be proven. Liberals have always opposed
discrimination that has no basis in fact, and cannot be supported with
reasons. If anyone with at least two fingers could do a certain job - 2
fingers is the irreducible minimum - then we may choose only those who
could do the job. What we may not do is punish those we dislike regardless
of their ability to do the job. What is banned is the effects of bias,
even if we cannot remove the prejudice itself.
The latest furor about inequality and bigotry is caused
by the Religious Right - religious fundamentalists, particularly
Christians. What all current fundamentalist groups have in common is
belief in absolute truths or standards, usually written in a book which
they claim is dictated by their gods. In the Middle East, there are
fundamentalist Jews and Muslims. We are at war with fundamentalist Islamic
Jihadists in Iraq and the Taliban in Afghanistan/Pakistan. American
Christians have declared war on America. The Bandit Administration now in
power represents Christian fundamentalism, which, ironically, is what we
are fighting in its Islamic form. What the Bandit is trying to do on
behalf of Christian fundamentalists is makeover America into a
theocratically guided autocracy, somewhat similar to Iran. Christians have
different rules than Muslims, but their regimen comes to the same thing:
they try to impose their will on everyone else. Non-believers and refusers
are at risk of imprisonment and even execution.
The Founding Fathers understood that religious beliefs
and bigotry could undermine democracy. Therefore, they believed in
tolerance. Even irrascible men like John Adams understood that there had
to be room for disagreement. But, when Adams went too far, straying from
the founding philosophy by pushing through the Alien and Sedition Acts, he
was not elected to a second term. The hallmark of that period was the
first ten Amendments, the Bill of Rights.
Our civil rights and liberties are being challenged
every day by Bandit government, which causes me to oppose that government.
One of the primary reasons I call this a Bandit government is its theft of
our liberties, our democracy, from us. What they are doing is expressed in
the Patriot Act, which should be repealed. They are trying to stuff their
religious leanings into government, as evidenced by how they fund the
schools, by giving preference to religious organizations that might assist
the poor, and by permitting and encouraging the practice of religion
within the government. One has to go back to the Taft Adminsitration, or
even further back than that, to find an American government more hostile
to the rights and liberties of ordinary citizens.
Bandit government also shows its disrespect for equality
in its economic policies, most of which encourage inequality. The well off
are rewarded, while the struggling are shoved aside. Such attitudes are
one result of religious Calvinism, the doctrine that the successful are
the Chosen Ones. Oddly enough, in this respect Bandit policies are exactly
opposite to what his Christian mentor, Jesus, taught.
In any event, I remain steadfastly in favor of an
equalitarian society. That is a society in which one person is not too
different from the next, and in which each person is treated about the
same as the next. "Equal" can be interpreted many ways; e.g., we could
have the equality of the prison cell. I prefer to interpret "equality" in
a way that optimizes individual liberty. In this context, "optimize," not
"maximize," is the correct word. In fact, certain liberties have to be
restrained to prevent the reduction of liberty overall. Even Ben Franklin,
who endorsed Capitalism, thought that there could be limits on economic
power. Society - that's us, the citizens - needs to determine case by case
when the liberty of one is the enslavement of another.
The allocation of resources is important because we all have an equal
right to them. Resources are our connection to the environment; we cannot
live without them. Thus, resources are the basis of the economy.
Despite the Tragedy of the Commons heuristic, which purports to show
that resources held in common are misused, it is a fact that most
resources are held in common in the non-human natural world. The
assumption of the Tragedy of Commons scenario is that a ruthless operator
will appear, who will savage the commons for individual gain. That ruins
the commons for everyone else, and leaves it permanently unusable. In
fact, that is a typically human scenario, not a result of Darwinian
evolution.
In the Darwinian struggle, individuals and species compete for the
resources they need. The strongest tiger will get the booty, ejecting most
of the others. However, not even the strongest tiger manages to eject all
the others. Eventually the strongest one is overcome, ages and dies. Thus,
in Nature the appropriation of resources to a single individual or small
group is temporary. The evidence that natural resources are not stripped
beyond recovery is that, if they had been, we would not be here. Darwin's
nature is in balance, and only rarely and temporarily produces a Tragedy
of the Commons. What this shows is that the Tragedy is a result of
inadequate or poor regulation, or unusual conditions.
While some biologists and ecologists have made a strong case about the Tragedy of Commons, the origins of the case are in civilization. One does not have to invent Rousseau's "noble savage" to find out that many "primitive" cultures all over the world managed to live within natural restraints for millennia. Until recent post-glacial times, humans managed to eke out an existence for millions of years, avoiding a Tragedy of Commons during all that time. The Tragedy of the Commons can only occur in human contexts, when some people are allowed to dominate others without consequence. For example, ranchers and miners are allowed to use Federal (public, common) lands for their private purposes without having to return the areas they use to pristine conditions By such a policy, we actually incite a Tragedy of the Commons, because "the people" are responsible for maintaining the property without cost, or only minimal costs, to the actual beneficiaries. What this exposes is the disconnection between reward and the costs of production. That is, the Tragedy of the Commons is a result of not making users pay the full cost of production (resource use). That cost would be represented by the effort required to return the resource to its natural, unused condition.
Tigers pay a cost for the food they eat. They cannot eat more than the
jungle can produce, for, if they do, there will be nothing left and then
they will starve to death. There is a built-in consumption limit. In
addition, hungry tigers have to compete not only with other tigers, but
other species for available food. Under tropical conditions, ants and
bacteria actually eat more dead animals than tigers. All those who feed on
prey species are themselves eventually recycled. Everything that goes into
a tiger comes out the other end, which encourages plant growth. When the
tiger is resorbed into the earth, every atom becomes part of another
living thing, The cycle goes on and on, finally fueled by our star, Sol.
The Tragedy of the Commons is really an anti-socialist allegory. While it has been put in scientific terms, it is not really a scientific finding about natural ecology; it is a diatribe about humans. The original example supporting the Tragedy of the Commons notion is the common pasture which gets exploited by one person. While those proposing this allegory intend to show the merit of private ownership, in fact they miss their own point. Private property - enclosing something - does not of necessity solve the problem, since there is nothing to prevent the owner from bleeding it white (draining it dry, etc) and then abandoning it. That is exactly what has happened in the creation of toxic wastelands: companies dumped or left their wastes and went bankrupt. Those who operated those companies got their good out of it, then left the scene, leaving "the people" to clean up their mess. That Tragedy of Private Property exactly parallels the Tragedy of Commons story. What both stories show is that resources are abused when there is inadequate or improper regulation. The abuse is not the result of Capitalism or Socialism; rather it is the result of human failure to manage wisely.
What those stories also show is what happens when we believe that one
entity (person or company) has some sort of absolute right to do whatever
one wants with property. Such an absolute right is a denial that uses are
subject to social regulation. I think the notion that one has an absolute,
unconditional right to do whatever one wants with property is wrong and
unfounded. First, the many anecdotes of actual abuses, and our current
major environment problems (e.g., global climate change), show that
unregulated use leads to unexpected, bad results, or at least results most
of us don't want. So, there is an argument for regulation based on
observed consequences.
There is an argument beyond consequences that property rights are
limited: viz., 'property' is a social construct which can be defined any
way society chooses. Thus, property rights are always at the disposal of
society - others - even when society says your rights are unlimited. Of
course, to ascribe unlimited rights to an individual is contradictory,
since that denies the right of society to alter them. This reveals a
conflict and a choice which goes beyond property: what is the source of
"rights" in the first place? If rights inhere in the individual, then they
are self-defined, without social recourse. Any absolute rights theory that
starts with the individual's self-definition and self-empowerment makes of
each person a dictator. Such a theory denies the equality of human beings,
since the starting point must be "I am different and more important than
you; I alone decide." Such a theory also implies a totally
solipsistic
metaphysics. While I am attracted to subjectivism, I view the denial of
"the other" as unrealistic and useless. Even a solipsist has to find some
way to deal with the material world. The sort of solipsism - extreme
individualism - that denies others the status of self could only be
maintained by a being in totally vegetative state; i.e., one trapped in
its own brain without external sensation. I think having perceptions of an
external world, and particularly the perception of others like oneself,
forces the criterion of 'socially defined' upon rights and much else.
To put the matter differently, it is the recognition of human equality
that forces a social definition of human rights. To assign rights, we must
ask what it is to be human, which is to ask what the human species is
"like." This same question could be asked of any other species, such as
tigers and extra-terrestrials (ETs). Asking it this way leads to a
different definition of rights (and responsibilities) for each species,
even if many of these legal and ethical definitions rise to become general
principles governing behavior of many species. The common commandment
'thou shalt not kill' is clearly dependent upon the circumstances of a
particular being's existence. The tiger probably cannot be ruled by this
maxim, because it does not make "moral" choices; it only wants to eat.
Humans and ETs, however, probably have the sense of wanting to survive and
the ability to ascribe that same desire to others sufficiently similar to
themselves. So, in most circumstances, the commandment applies to huimans
and ETs. (But, the lifeboat situation may override it.) The social nature
of rights definitions simply means, when intra-species equality is
postulated, that the same rights must apply to every member of that
species. Thus, equality is an essential ingredient of a universal rights
theory.
If equality is denied, then we have a potential state of war, because
each individual reigns supreme. In that case, whatever someone does to
implement his will is justified. In a conflict, the winner (survivor)
reigns supreme. This shows that the philosophy of 'might makes right' is
probably intimately related to any absolute rights theory. Basing ethical
princples, thus morality, on the will of the gods is the ultimate
extension of this sort of absolutism, because it is assumed the gods have
absolute, infinite power and wisdom. It is those fancied abilities which
allows the gods to issue Commandments and, through their human
intermediaries, compel compliance. The appeal to deism does solve one
problem: it removes the state of war one step, to a war of men against the
gods rather than a war of each against all.
If property rights are socially defined, as I think, then an
individual's rights are limited. Those limits are justified by the
postulate of equality, applied as 'equal access.' You have as much right
to eat as I. The same is true of clothing, housing, medical care,
education, etc. The only exception to this rule arises out of scarcity;
i.e., the lifeboat situation. This is a very important exception, since
Capitalism is based on it. The justification of Adam Smith's theory and
its successors is that there is always scarcity. The supply-demand curves
and all the other analyses assume
there is never enough to go around. When there is a surplus, when demand
is filled, Capitalism stops working. Capitalists get around that
difficulty by postulating that consumers are insatiable, and that there is
a "market clearing" price. Unfortunately, those last premises make the
entire Capitalist enterprise self-justifying; i.e., a vicious circle. If
you assume satiety is never reached, Capitalism turns into a peculiar sort
of belief which can never be disproved, so it is unscientific. This is not
to subscribe to Popperism, that falsifiability is the
sine qua non of science, but to
agree that falsifiability is a necessary criterion of a scientific
theory.)
The "lifeboat exception" justifies all sorts of unusual behavior; e.g.
cannibalism. Essentially, this exception is about what happens when the
usual assumptions break down, when equality no longer applies. Lifeboat
behavior is always short-term, because there are going to be winners and
losers in the near future. Someone will live and someone else will die.
The simplest way to think about lifeboat behavior is to characterize it as
Darwinian. In other words, the lifeboat exception is a reversion to the
underlying 'Law of the Jungle,' prior to society and civilization. It is
the basis on which the non-human portion of our living planet, Gaia,
operates. The lifeboat exception denies rationality and meaningful choice;
i.e., it denies how we humans regard ourselves.
This discussion should indicate that there is a close connection
between how we perceive ourselves and how we allocate resources. If we
think of ourselves as essentially like the tiger of the jungle, we would
allocate the means of life by a Darwinian struggle such as Capitalism. If
we think otherwise, that we are rational and capable of choice, we could
reject the unthinking "natural choice." When Capitalists praise being
guided by an "invisible hand," they are saying more than they think. The
"invisible hand" is without thought or care about people, so to accept its
rule is throw oneself on the mercy of fate. The proposition that all
humans are equal can be accepted under Capitalism, if that means all human
beings are equally worthless (without value).
My proposition about equality is an ethical principal which imputes
equal value to each person. In the span of the Universe, humans probably
are just flotsam, so an ethical principle of equality is just temporary
and relative. Nonetheless, it is the feeling each of us has, that 'I am
important,' which drives an assessment of value greater than
worthlessness. It could be that feelings of worth are merely a
generalization of the mechanisms of survival, the biological urge to live,
in which case those feelings may be identified with self-consciousness or
"awareness." However derived, the fact that we have such feelings and that
we believe we make choices, is a basis for an ethical theory about human
behavior. The further fact that there is no natural basis of
discrimination between individuals not only supports the notion of
equality I propose, but denies the Capitalist mechanism of allocating
resources. Here, I must add that there is no paucity of resources for the
presently living, if the resources were equitably distributed, so there is
no reason to suspend the right of equal access.
Now, it is true that we are overusing Earth's resources, and
endangering ourselves in the process. There are just too many people and
not enough resources, in the long run.
In the short run, we are "borrowing" from the future by gobbling up
available resources faster today. In other words, the integrated total of
Earth's resources is capable of supporting so many person-days, allowing
for solar input and losses to entropy. If we use the aggregate total
faster, we just shorten the time Earth's resources will last. If overuse
persists, then we all die when the resources run out. Nature will take
over, despite the abilities and energies of the human race, if we do not
live within our means.
Rational creatures with a will to live should want to avoid
annihilation. They don't have to want to live, but we usually consider a
lack of 'will to live' a mental disorder (such as depression). I assume a
normal person does want to live, and does want to avoid annihilation, and
has the mental ability to carry out that purpose. So, I believe a rational
person will abandon Capitalism and Social Darwinism when it comes to human
beings. Rational people don't volunteeer to sink the ship, in order to put
themselves in the lifeboat situation (the "reality show" fad
notwithstanding). A rational person, realizing our current problems are
due to ineffective regulation, will seek to regulate matters so as to
obtain a more favorable outcome.
An equitable allocation of resources requires certain actions now and
in the foreseeable future. First and foremost, the human population needs
to be regulated downward. This does not have to be a crash program, but
nature will enforce on our species a drastic crash program if we do not
manage ourselves. Over the course of the next 2-3 generations, the
population needs to stop growing and move downward. The target should be
in the 1-2 billion person range, or whatever we can be sure Gaia can
support comfortably. (It doesn't pay to push things to the edge, the
absolute maximum.)
Population control requires major adjustment of social policies. For
example, there should be tax penalties for having large families.
Individuals - not couples - should be licensed to have children to insure
that everyone gets a fair and equal chance to contribute to the on-going
gene pool. Raising children is an honorable activity, but should not be
the major purpose of life for most people. In fact, we are probably better
off sending out our children for raising - meaning puttting them in
nurseries and schools as soon as possible. Raising and teaching children
should be a specialized, licensed
profession which pays very well. Here, I note that there is very
little historical evidence that the American nuclear family is the best
family structure. The nuclear family is adapted to isolated, frontier
conditions, and may work well for nomads (ancient or modern). But, in most
places and most of the time, people are more settled than Americans and
tend to aggregate in extended families.
The prototypical pattern of the following is still "the norm" among African
Watusi and certain other tribes who persist in living the traditional
lifestyle. It is common in all human societies for a male to mate with
many females, and for designated females to have the major responsibility
of raising all the offspring. I think there is very little historical
evidence for a required male presence after children reach basic survival
age (3-5 years), and until male offspring reach puberty. Children attach
themselves to mothers (in a process called bonding, which is at least
partially chemical in nature), not fathers, in a manner that usually
persists for a lifetime. Sons learn from a father-figure in their teenage
period, but this apprenticeship may be served with almost any male, not
just the genetic parent. Teenage males tend to form gangs that run wild,
with the result that many - sometimes most - males are killed off early in
life. In almost all societies, daughters bond tightly to their mothers and
are under the mother's tutelage for life. Most women tend to turn men out
of the home after breeding. Older men often control the homes, after their
sexual powers decline. Older men and women especially force young men out,
as they are too hard to control and too competitive. Thus, a women's life
is centered upon home and family, whereas a man's life is centered on the
outdoors - out of the home. Although I am totally in favor of women's
liberation, and believe in the equality of the sexes, I see nothing in
liberated people that denies this model. The facts of reproduction and
human biology seem to force the foregoing pattern on us.
Further, I believe the ancient model - minus the abuse of women - can be
used to good effect in controlling the population. That is, accepting the
notion that adult males aren't homebodies, and that most adult women are
not child-bearing beasts ("cows"), we can construct a healthy way of
having and raising children. "Healthy" means more closely aligned with
"natural" conditions - the way it was for thousands of years. I don't
think the so-called "child-centered" family or the nuclear family is
healthy for most people of all ages.
So, fulfilling just the first of the things we need to do - limiting the
population to what the planet can support - implies major changes in
existing government and social policies right down to family structure.
This would be so, whether or not my proposed arrangement of social
structures is the one that works.
The limitation of population implies another anti-capitalist idea:
stability, not growth, is the desired goal. As noted above, Capitalism is
based on growth, particularly the idea that people are insatiable. There
is a parallel dictum which applies to the natural biological world, 'grow
or die.' Companies that just produce the same old product, the same old
way, year after year, don't make much (or any) money. In investing, for
example, groceries and other "consumer staples" are very low profit
businesses, so are often avoided except during recessions. Consumer
staples stocks are reasonably steady because people need to eat. On the
other hand, when the bulls are running, investors usually abandon consumer
staples for high growth (get-rich-quick) equities. But we need not be
subjected to boom and bust because, as Keynes suggested 80 years ago, the
business cycle can be managed. The key notion underlying Keynesian
economics is that intelligent, rational beings can control their
destinies. If we dispense with the invisible hand and take charge, we can
achieve stability without growth. While science fiction, Ayn Rand and
market fundamentalists characterize a stable society as dull, boring and
backward, that need not be so. Stability does not in itself imply a lack
of verve in life. There is nothing to prevent a stable society from
writing new books and music, wearing new and stylish clothes, eating
gourmet foods, learning a thing or two and maintaining a healthy
lifestyle, all of which are interesting things to most people which do not
make huge demands on the environment.
Bringing our demands within supportable limits implies an end to
pro-growth policies, not only in population, but also in all other
activities that excessively load the environment. The most obvious
excessive demand at this time is the use of oil and other carbon-based
fuels. This is not merely a matter of using recycled carbon resources, but
actually a need to reduce the amount of carbon being oxidized to CO2.
Our energy useage has already started a process of global climate change
which we probably cannot halt, much less reverse. Global climate change is
one of the ways Gaia will take revenge for crossing the "sustainable"
line. Despite our exalted powers, we are not invincible, as many of us
will learn within our lifetimes. If we are rational, we will learn the
lesson from the early signs and change our ways. Otherwise, we get what we
get.
Reducing our demands on the environment need not be the economic disaster
conservatives portray. It is true that existing economic arrangements will
have to change. It is probably true that those made extraordinarilly
wealthy by control of oil will become poorer. It is also probably true
that none of the required changes will happen without major intervention
by governments in international agreement. So, rearranging the world to
use fewer global resources implies a change in present economic and
political structures. This sort of challenge is what is most dangerous to
ordinary people, unless there is a very strong commitment to egalitarian
democracy. One way to reduce population and demand, while not disturbing
the interlocking economic, political and social hierarchies is to deprive
the lowest classes to the point of their eventual death. Another way is to
destroy populations in a major (nuclear) war. Yet another possibility is
the destruction of most of the planet's people by the secondary ravages of
climate change: famine and disease.
I believe if we continue the way we are going, one of the apocalyptic
scenarios will eventually materialize. If climate change turns major
fertile areas into dustbowls, similar to what happened in the African
Sahel, some of the affected people are not going meekly to lie down and
die. In a world increasingly armed to the teeth with biological and
nuclear weapons, losers will almost certainly "get even" for their
predicament. As the world sinks into despair and disorder, people become
less rational. Desperate people have always blamed someone else and taken
whatever revenge they could. So, not dealing with the problems is very
likely to have a self-imposed catastrophic end.
For those of us who believe this world is the beginning and end of our
existence, it is important that the delegated decision makers not believe
in things like Second Comings. The other-worldly among us should not be in
positions of power, because either they do not care for this material
place ("God will provide") or they see fixing the problems as unimportant
("the end is coming, anyway"). Putting that sort of person in a position
of power is likely to bring about a disastrous end even sooner.
My major hope for the future is that we will apply reason and science, not
emotion and superstition, to our problems. I firmly believe rational,
intelligent creatures will make the choices required to save themselves
and the planet.
There is a close connection between our ideas about equality and resource use. Both things are tied up in the human network of government, business, society, family and personal relations. Together, all these things are a Gordian Knot which has to be unraveled and remade a different way.
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WalterB -
13:57:11 - Wednesday, 07/06/2005