In lectures about his book,
Collapse,
Prof. Jared Diamond mentions graduate students who asked ‘What were they
thinking, when they cut down all the trees?’ I heard his story about
events on Rapa Nui (Easter Island) while I was writing this book, which
deals with similar issues.
We have serious global problems of overpopulation, excessive resource
use, climate change and environmental damage. I used to think technical
fixes were possible, but the fact of climate change shows that things
are rapidly moving beyond human control. We need to make prompt changes
in our societies and lifestyles - our economic, social and political
assumptions - to stop the inevitable downhill slide. Yet, as happened on
Rapa Nui, there are few signs that Americans are willing to confront the
problems and change accordingly.
Why do people just go about their business, while eating themselves out
of house and home?
The easy answer is that people just continue to do what they always do,
but that doesn’t explain much. It just says people don’t change. So we
must ask again, why don’t they change? The answer requires looking into
human behavior, which is conditioned by culture and participation in
society. In turn, that requires examining the biological and historical
basis of cultures and society. If there are any answers, they are deep
and complex.
Since I am not in a position to give a final, scientific answer to the
question (nor is anyone else), I have to wave a philosophical magic wand
over the problem. Heuristics - ad hoc principles and teaching methods -
are useful in this situation. By trying principles and refining
approximations, we will eventually discover how things work.
I prefer explanations that are based on the “evidence of our eyes;”
i.e., scientific evidence. It is useless to explain lifestyles and
societies based on philosophical or spiritual doctrines that have little
or nothing to do with actual behavior. Thus, I present my understanding
of our Minds (brains) and Darwinian evolution as the background for this
study.
Human culture is directed by beliefs as demonstrated in human behavior.
This psychological dimension of culture implies that it develops
separately, possibly differently, from physical evolution. Cultures,
thus societies, are on a “mental track,” whereas genes are on a
“physical track,” of evolution. Cultures have an “internal logic:” they
are organized into systems. Cultural evolution occurs as a result of the
development of individual and social beliefs in the context of that
system.
I believe traditional accounts of social origins, organization and
operations are inadequate or flawed. Today’s First World societies are
based on ideas invented during the Enlightenment by the Continental
"philosophes" and English philosophers: Descartes, Hobbes, Locke,
Rousseau and others. One such Enlightenment invention was the Social
Contract; an idea underlying the U.S. Constitution. Social Contract
theory assumes rational men make dispassionate judgements about their
society using Reason. In our post-modern world, it is no longer certain
that people are “rational” or that there is a faculty of “Reason.” Even
a recent exponent of Social Contract theory, Prof. John Rawls, has a
difficult time with those premises. Thus, the foundations of American
society and modern democracy rest on sand.
Adam Smith drew his ideas from the same Enlightenment well, when he
invented classical economics. His price theory assumes “rational
players” in a “free market.” Unfortunately, during the last century, we
discovered people are neither rational nor free in their economic
decisions. The economic system does not work the way political
conservatives, corporate propagandists and college professors allege. In
fact, people are carefully primed by advertising and social feedback to
buy the products economic managers decide to make. We live in managed
economies.
We are told “fairy stories” to justify the present economic, political
and social arrangements. These stories are inaccurate when they are not
false, but people believe them anyway. Belief in those stories allows
society to creak on. In fact, cultures based on false and inconsistent
beliefs can survive for considerable periods before being undermined by
the natural world. If people believe they can live high off the hog, but
only have an ordinary income, they can continue their behavior (which
supports their belief) until they run out of credit.
Society could be organized on a different basis, which I call the Ideal
State. The Ideal State arises from the ideals of the French Revolution,
Liberty, Equality and Fraternity. Unlike the contorted Social Contract,
these ideals are found in the easily observable, natural “human
condition.” The Ideal State is a government that provides the structure
and services people want and need. It is partially realized in the
Welfare State implemented in several European countries. The Ideal State
is a creature of the political Left, abhorred by the Right.
All societies, even Ideal States, have a life cycle. Sooner or later,
something happens and societies fall apart. There are several factors
that determine the strength or weakness of societies. With all that in
mind, we are now prepared to consider the role of individuals in social
continuation or eventual collapse (read
The Graduate
Student’s Question).
Is there a way to prolong a society’s lifetime? I propose a few
solutions to avoid a bad end.
It is critical to end the manipulation of consent. In America, that
means removing money from politics. I hope a government meaningfully
responsible to individuals will be unlikely to make self-destructive
decisions. In the Ideal State, people are concerned about
self-fulfillment (“the life worth living”), not just about uselessly
making and spending money.
The most critical problem is population. The human population already
exceeds Gaia’s carrying capacity. We must control our reproductive lives
and reduce our numbers. If we don’t, a population implosion is likely,
as happened on Rapa Nui. We have less than a century to solve this
problem.
The Graduate’s
Student’s Question is fruitful, because it shows social collapse
results from a very long chain of events, and points to further
research. This book is my attempt to convince people to avoid disaster
by taking corrective measures now.